“Eighteen applications have
been received by the U.S. NRC for the construction of at
least 25 new nuclear reactor units.” Gregory B.
Jaczko, chairman U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Today, there are some 436 nuclear
power reactors operating in 31 countries and nuclear
energy provides approximately 15% of the world’s
electricity.
These 436 reactors - with
combined capacity of over 370 Gigawatts (One GWe equals
one billion watts or one thousand megawatts) - require
77,000 tonnes of uranium oxide (U3O8) containing 65,500
tonnes of uranium (tU).
"We believe there is not
enough uranium production, either current or planned, to
satisfy reactor needs, initial core requirements and
inventories for new reactors." Adam Schatzker,
analyst RBC Capital Markets
According to the World Nuclear
Association, about 50 power reactors are currently being
constructed in 14 countries. In all there are over 130
power reactors planned and 250 more proposed.
In 2008 mining supplied roughly
70% of nuclear utility power requirements. The remaining
supply deficit used to be made up from stockpiled
uranium held by these very same utilities, but their
stockpiles are pretty much depleted. Mine production is
now primarily supplemented by ex-military material - the
Megatons to Megawatts program ends in
2013.
The International Atomic Energy
Agency, in its 2009 report, anticipates at least 807 GWe
in new net capacity to be in place by 2030. Each GWe of
increased capacity will require about 195 tU per year of
extra mine production.
But consider - no one builds a $4
to $6-billion dollar reactor just to watch it go idle.
They will order one or perhaps several years worth of
fuel supply to guarantee it doesn’t. And it looks like
several Asian countries - China in particular - along
with India, will have to start strategic stockpiles.
China currently has 11 reactors
in commercial operation and there are 20 under
construction with many more reactors on the drawing
board. China’s current nuclear power installed capacity
stands at 9.1 GWe. In 2008 nuclear power contributed
1.99% of the country’s total electricity output. China
intends to increase its nuclear generating capacity to
160 GWe by 2030.
At the end of 2008 India had 17
nuclear power plants in operation generating 4,100 MW.
India plans to expand its nuclear power generation
capacity to at least 20,000 MW by
2020.
“A gap of almost 12 trillion
kilowatt hours needs to be filled by 2030…. We expect
nuclear energy to play a major role in this growth.”
Ian Parkinson, analyst CIBC
Reasons to Use Nuclear
Energy:
-
Nuclear
power's life-cycle emissions range from 2 to 59
gram-equivalents of carbon dioxide per kilowatt-hour.
Only hydropower's range ranked lower at 2 to 48 grams
of carbon dioxide-equivalents per kilowatt-hour. Wind
came in at 7 to 124 grams and solar photovoltaic at 13
to 731 grams. Emissions from natural gas fired plants
ranged from 389 to 511 grams. Coal produces 790 to
1,182 grams of carbon dioxide equivalents per kilowatt
hour. International Energy Agency
-
Nuclear
energy is reliable. Nuclear power plants do not depend
on weather conditions to produce electricity nor do
they need costly electricity storage options.
-
One
ton of uranium produces more energy than several
million tons of coal and oil. Fuel transportation
costs are less and there’s less impact on our
environment from mining.
-
Nuclear
power plants require very little space and can be
situated close to where their power output is
needed.
"Uranium in particular stands
to benefit from the nuclear renaissance, in our view,
which appears to be kicking into high gear." Bart
Jaworski, analyst Raymond James
Any company being
considered for investment purposes, in this sector or
any other, has to meet certain criteria, they are:
ü
Experienced senior management
ü
Strong share structure
ü
Quality projects
ü
Limited Country
risk
ü
Operating in a sector set to
outperform
Uranerz Energy
Corporation
Ur – honor -
ez
www.uranerz.com
Uranerz Energy Corporation is
listed on both the Toronto Stock Exchange and the NYSE
Amex Exchange under the symbol “URZ.” Uranerz is also
listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol
“U9E”.
Cash: US$28 million
Debt: Nil
Shares
Outstanding: 64,194,887
Fully Diluted:
80,029,585
Insider ownership = 10.3%
Institutional
ownership = 40%
Denison Mines owns 8.5%
Retail
ownership = 40%
Uranerz is included in four of
the Russell Family of Indexes - the Russell 3000 Index,
the Russell 2000 Index, the Russell Microcap Index and
the Russell Global Index.
URZ
has an experienced team of mining personnel. Many are
former officers, senior management and employees of the
"Uranerz Group." The Uranerz Group was the world’s
third-largest primary uranium producer in 1998 when it
was acquired by Cameco, at that time the world's largest
primary uranium producer.
Members of the Uranerz
Energy management and technical team have specialized
expertise in the in-situ recovery (“ISR”) uranium mining
method and the Company controls a large and strategic
land position in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming,
U.S.A. with 38 uranium projects in various stages of
exploration and development - this area is well known
for containing uranium mineralized sandstone-hosted
“roll fronts” that are amenable to ISR mining
techniques.
Wyoming leads the United States in
uranium production. All of Wyoming’s uranium production
comes from the ISR facilities in the Powder River
Basin.
In December of 2007 Uranerz submitted
license and permit applications for the development of
two of their projects into commercial ISR uranium mines.
URZ expects these licenses to be issued mid 2010 with
production beginning in 2011.
Uranerz will continue
their mine permitting activities and plan to select
additional properties that will be the subject of future
permit applications.
Uranerz has reported NI 43-101
compliant uranium resources of 10,758,020 pounds in the
Measured and Indicated category and 3,168,927 pounds in
the Inferred category for five of its 38 Powder River
Basin projects.
The central processing facility
at the Company’s Nichols Ranch ISR Uranium Project is
being licensed for a capacity of 2 million pounds per
year of uranium and Uranerz has signed long-term
contracts for the sale of uranium with two of the United
States' largest nuclear operators; Exelon who operate
the largest nuclear fleet in U.S. and the third largest
fleet in the world, the second contract is to one of the
largest nuclear operators in the US with plants located
in several states.
Wyoming ISR advantages
include:
ISL
Mining
“In situ leaching (ISL) - also
known as solution mining or in situ recovery (ISR) -
involves leaving the ore in the ground, and recovering
the minerals from it by dissolving them and pumping the
pregnant solution to the surface where the minerals can
be recovered. There is little surface disturbance and no
tailings or waste rock are generated. ISR mining
comprised 26% of global uranium production in 2008.”
World Nuclear Association
In the USA ISR mining is seen as
the most cost effective and environmentally acceptable
method of mining. The first commercial ISR uranium mine
in Wyoming began operations in 1974.
In the USA
legislation requires that the water quality in the
affected aquifer be restored after ISR mining– meaning
the water must be usable for the same purposes as it was
before mining began.
Conclusion
In
"Nuclear Century Outlook" the World Nuclear Association
projects world nuclear generating capacity growing from
a base capacity of 373 GWe today to at least 1130 GWe
and possibly as high as 3500 GWe by
2060.
As mentioned the International
Atomic Energy Agency anticipates at least 807 GWe in new
net capacity to be in place by 2030. This would equate
to mining an additional 157,365 tU per year. Yet the
uranium market is, and has been, in deficit for
years. Mine production is
now primarily supplemented by ex-military material - the
Megatons to Megawatts program ends in 2013.
"We're increasingly
convinced -- but skeptical -- that in 2013 the HEU deal
will come to an end and that will remove 24 million
pounds a year from the market." Jerry Grandey,
Cameco CEO
It is this author’s opinion that
the uranium supply is going to fall well short of demand
in the near future. Is this sector on your radar screen?
If it is then Uranerz Energy Corp. might be perfectly
positioned to help meet a possible uranium supply
shortfall and should be on every investor’s watch
list.
***
Richard
(Rick) Mills
rick@aheadoftheherd.com
www.aheadoftheherd.com
If
you’re interested in the junior resource market and
would like to learn more please come and visit us at
aheadoftheherd.com
Richard
is host of aheadoftheherd.com and invests in the junior
resource sector. His articles have been published on
over 200 websites including: Wall Street Journal,
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***
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subscribe for any investment. Richard Mills has based
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believes to be reliable but which has not been
independently verified; Richard Mills makes no
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